Roach
M 3rd, Alexander M.
The prognostic significance of race and survival from breast cancer:
a model for assessing the reliability of reported survival differences.
J Natl Med Assoc 1995;87(3):214-9.
The goal of this study was to assess whether stage of disease explains
the race differences in survival of breast cancer in the recently published
literature. Studies published between 1968 and 1983 were reviewed, and
18 were selected for inclusion in this analysis. The authors rated the
"reliability" of each study based on the specificity of the
measure used for stage of illness and the uniformity of the quality of
care measures. That is, studies that used better measures for stage of
illness were considered most reliable, and studies that included patients
who were most likely to receive uniform quality of care were considered
most reliable. Reliability scores also accounted for whether the study
included measures of other factors of prognostic significance (age, SES,
and nutritional status).
The authors then correlated their reliability scores with the reported
racial differences in survival rates, showing those studies with the largest
racial disparities in survival had the lowest reliability scores. That
is, 61% of the studies showed very small racial differences, and the average
reliability for these studies was 8 of 10 possible points. This finding
indicates that the studies that used the better stage of disease measures,
that were unlikely to be confounded by quality of care, and that included
other prognostic factors in their analyses were unlikely to find racial
disparities from breast cancer. On the other had, 28% of the studies found
large racial differences, and the average reliability score for these
studies was only 3.4.
Thus, these authors made the assumption that race differences are explained
primarily by race differences in stage of disease and quality of care
and might also be influenced by race differences in other prognostic factors.
The published studies tend to support this pattern. The authors conclude,
"efforts directed at early detection and improvements in the quality
of care delivered are likely to reduce the excess breast cancer mortality
by women of low SES, regardless of race."